Wednesday, September 29, 2010

S and J Curves for Growth Rate

S-curves and J-curves
  • S-curves
    • Start with exponential growth
    • Above a certain population size, the growth rate slows down until population stabilizes
    • Consistent with density dependent limiting factors
    • Population size stabilizes at the carrying capacity (K) of the environment
    • The area between the exponential growth curve and the S.curve is called environmental resistance
  • J-curve
    • Shows a boom and bust pattern
    • Population grows exponentially then crashes
    • These collapses/crashes are called diebacks
    • Population often exceeds K before the collapse occurs which is referred to as overshoot



Growth Rates
  • S and J curves are idealized
  • In nature both types of limiting factors act on the same population and the result is an S/J combo curve
  • The growth rate of the human population is slowing as we reach the K of our environment
  • Peaked at 2.1% per year in 1965-1970
  • Now: 1.3% and falling
  • Back in the day world population was increasing slowly due to environmental resistance, diseases, epidemics, famine, and natural catastrophes
  • MEDCs and LEDCs
    • Countries are also economically classified based in the industrial development or GDP
    • MEDCs
      • are industrialized nations with high GDPs
      • Relatively rich population and starvation is unlikely
      • High Level of resource use per capita
      • Relatively low population growth rate
    • LEDCs
      • are less industrialized or have none at all
      • May have plenty of natural capital but usually this is exported and processed in MEDCs
      • Lower GDP and high poverty rates
      • Large population sector with low standard of living
      • High population growth rates

No comments:

Post a Comment